It will come as Reform has found an early Increase as they polled forward on the Tories in the 1st two seats of Blyth and Sunderland South, pushing the Tories into third put.The original UKIP MP, Tory defector Douglas Carswell, believes his individual 2014 victory in Clacton, Essex, was the “initial straw from the wind” of voter disenchantment